Politics3 ThresholdsFutures

National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?

Current Leader

0 French Senate seats after the 2026 election28%

1 French Senate seats after the 2026 election at 20%(+8pt lead)

$45K volume3 thresholdsPolymarket124d until resolution

Market ForecastChance by threshold

Chance of reaching each threshold · the curve crosses 50% at the market's central line

Threshold Board3 thresholds

ThresholdChanceYesNo

<10linePolymarket

17%17%83%

<56Polymarket

2%2%98%

<117Polymarket

2%2%98%

Analysis

Analysis content will be generated by the pipeline.

Timeline

Market Created

Aug 29

We Are Here

Aug 29

Resolution

Dec 31

⚠Informational content only. Not financial or betting advice. Prediction markets involve risk of loss.

Politics3 ThresholdsFutures

National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?

Current Leader

0 French Senate seats after the 2026 election28%

1 French Senate seats after the 2026 election at 20%(+8pt lead)

$45K volume3 thresholdsPolymarket124d until resolution

Market ForecastChance by threshold

Chance of reaching each threshold · the curve crosses 50% at the market's central line

Threshold Board3 thresholds

ThresholdChanceYesNo

<10linePolymarket

17%17%83%

<56Polymarket

2%2%98%

<117Polymarket

2%2%98%

Analysis

Analysis content will be generated by the pipeline.

Timeline

Market Created

Aug 29

We Are Here

Aug 29

Resolution

Dec 31

⚠Informational content only. Not financial or betting advice. Prediction markets involve risk of loss.