Politics3 ThresholdsFutures

Who will run for President in 2028?

Current Leader

Yes25%

$126K volume3 thresholdsKalshi799d until resolution

Market ForecastChance by threshold

Chance of reaching each threshold · the curve crosses 50% at the market's central line

Threshold Board3 thresholds

ThresholdChanceYesNo

by Jan 1, 2028Kalshi

20%20%80%

by November 4, 2028Kalshi

15%15%85%

by Nov 7, 2028lineKalshi

26%26%74%

Analysis

Analysis content will be generated by the pipeline.

Timeline

Market Created

Aug 29

We Are Here

Aug 29

Resolution

Nov 4

⚠Informational content only. Not financial or betting advice. Prediction markets involve risk of loss.

Market Overview

Total Volume$126K

Candidates1

PlatformsKalshi

Days Left799

LeaderYes

ResolutionNovember 4, 2028

Resolves In

798

DAYS

HRS

MIN

November 4, 2028

Top Movers7D

Will Trump run for a third term?: Will Donald Trump announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2028?: Before 2028

23% → 20%

↓ -3%

Will Trump run for a third term?: Will Donald Trump announce a run for President of the United States before Nov 7, 2028?: Before Election Day

26% → 26%

· 0%

Will Bernie Sanders run for President in 2028?: Will Bernie Sanders run for President of The United States?: Before November 4, 2028

15% → 15%

· 0%

Will Joe Manchin run for president in 2028?: Will Joe Manchin announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?: Yes

25% → 25%

· 0%

Who will run for President in 2028?

Current Leader

Yes25%

$126K volume3 thresholdsKalshi799d until resolution

Market ForecastChance by threshold

Chance of reaching each threshold · the curve crosses 50% at the market's central line

Threshold Board3 thresholds

ThresholdChanceYesNo

by Jan 1, 2028Kalshi

20%20%80%

by November 4, 2028Kalshi

15%15%85%

by Nov 7, 2028lineKalshi

26%26%74%

Analysis

Analysis content will be generated by the pipeline.

Timeline

Market Created

Aug 29

We Are Here

Aug 29

Resolution

Nov 4

⚠Informational content only. Not financial or betting advice. Prediction markets involve risk of loss.

Market Overview

Total Volume$126K

Candidates1

PlatformsKalshi

Days Left799

LeaderYes

ResolutionNovember 4, 2028

Resolves In

798

DAYS

HRS

MIN

November 4, 2028

Top Movers7D

Will Trump run for a third term?: Will Donald Trump announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2028?: Before 2028

23% → 20%

↓ -3%

Will Trump run for a third term?: Will Donald Trump announce a run for President of the United States before Nov 7, 2028?: Before Election Day

26% → 26%

· 0%

Will Bernie Sanders run for President in 2028?: Will Bernie Sanders run for President of The United States?: Before November 4, 2028

15% → 15%

· 0%

Will Joe Manchin run for president in 2028?: Will Joe Manchin announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?: Yes

25% → 25%

· 0%