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Timeline
Market Created
Aug 29
We Are Here
Aug 29
Resolution
Oct 4
⚠Informational content only. Not financial or betting advice. Prediction markets involve risk of loss.
Market Overview
Total Volume$145K
Candidates13
PlatformsKalshi, Polymarket
Days Left36
LeaderLula da Silva, 5-10%
Leader Spread14pt
ResolutionOctober 4, 2026
Resolves In
35
DAYS
19
HRS
20
MIN
October 4, 2026
Top Movers7D
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory: Will the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 10% and 15%?: Lula da Silva, 10-15%
26% → 8%
↓ -18%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?
22% → 5%
↓ -17%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
23% → 33%
↑ +10%
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory: Will the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 0% and 5%?: Lula da Silva, 0-5%
23% → 30%
↑ +7%
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory: Will the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 5% and 10%?: Lula da Silva, 5-10%
37% → 44%
↑ +7%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?