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2026 New Zealand Election โ Live Odds | Prediction Genius
Home
/
Markets
/
2026 New Zealand Election
Politics
4 Candidates
Futures
2026 New Zealand Election
Current Leader
New Zealand First Party
62%
Labour Party at 6%
(+56pt lead)
$148K volume
4 candidates
Polymarket
70d until resolution
Chart
Leaderboard
Analysis
Timeline
%
US
DEC
ยข
Price History
Top candidates over time
Leaderboard
4 candidates
#
Candidate
Polymarket
Best
1
New Zealand First Party
62%
62%
โธ
2
Labour Party
6%
6%
โธ
3
ACT New Zealand
3%
3%
โธ
4
National Party
2%
2%
โธ
Analysis
Analysis content will be generated by the pipeline.
Timeline
Market Created
Aug 29
We Are Here
Aug 29
Resolution
Nov 7
โ
Informational content only. Not financial or betting advice. Prediction markets involve risk of loss.
Market Overview
Total Volume
$148K
Candidates
4
Platforms
Polymarket
Days Left
70
Leader
New Zealand First Party
Leader Spread
56pt
Resolution
November 7, 2026
Resolves In
69
DAYS
19
HRS
20
MIN
November 7, 2026
Top Movers
7D
Will the Labour Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
30% โ 19%
โ -11%
Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
19% โ 28%
โ +9%
Will the Labour Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
27% โ 19%
โ -8%
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%?
29% โ 22%
โ -7%
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
55% โ 62%
โ +7%
Will the Labour Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
28% โ 34%
โ +6%
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